Ag Economy Barometer slides lower, producers concerned about war’s impact on input prices. (Purdue/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer/James Mintert).Download Photo WEST
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More than 40 percent of producers in this month’s survey say that low farm machinery inventories are holding back their investment plans.
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Fifty-seven percent of producers who responded said they expect farm input prices to rise by 20 percent or more in 2022; 34 percent said they expect prices to rise by 30 percent or more.
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Nearly four out of 10 farmers who responded to the survey expect input prices to rise by more than 30 percent in the upcoming year.
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The Farm Capital Investment Index declined, which seems to be a function of supply chain problems as well as concerns about rising input costs.
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Rising input costs are on most producers’ minds.
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Fewer farmers this month said they planned to increase their machinery purchases than on the August survey. More than half say their farm machinery purchase plans have been impacted by low inventories.
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Producers are becoming increasingly concerned about rising input costs. Thirty-nine percent of respondents said they expect input prices to rise by 8 percent or more.
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Nearly half of producers surveyed said they expect input costs to rise by at least 8 percent in the next year. Such costs have risen by 1.8 percent per year over the last decade.
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About a third of farmers expect farm input prices to rise by 8 percent or more in the upcoming year, which would be more than four times the average rise over the last 10 years.
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A drop in the Capital Investment Index for May is weighted by producers’ reluctance to invest in construction, which took a harder hit than their willingness to invest in equipment.
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Farmers expect a strong bottom line this year in spite of rising input costs. The data shows a greater willingness to buy equipment and attend in-person events.
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In March, producers continued to be relatively optimistic about making farm machinery purchases and capital investments in their farming operations.
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The Farm Capital Investment Index, which assesses farmers’ willingness to make significant investments, is the third-highest it has been since data collection began in 2015. It is 16 points higher than before the pandemic began.
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The index that measures farmers’ willingness to buy equipment held strong at its record high of 93. The percentage of farmers expecting to increase their machinery purchases also held at its highest level of the last year.
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Farmers feel good about their financial positions, according to the Ag Economy Barometer. The Farm Capital Investment Index, which measures producers’ willingness to make big purchases, hit a record high in December.
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While farmers remained relatively optimistic about making large capital investments in their operations soon, the survey revealed shifts upward among groups intending to hang onto their equipment a bit longer or reduce purchases.
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Fewer farmers report a reluctance to spend on equipment and more report a likelihood that they will.
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The Purdue University/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer rose 27 points to a reading of 183 in October and set an all-time high for
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The capital investment index, which reflects farmers’ willingness to make big purchases, rose to its highest reading in 2020.
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The barometer and its two sub-indices posted their most positive readings since February, when record highs were established and before the pandemic began. The Farm Capital Investment Index improved by five points.
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In this most unusual year, when farmers cannot kick the tires at farm shows, they are defining their preferences for getting business information.
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Farmers’ perspective regarding whether or not now is a good time to make large investments in their farming operation improved markedly over the last two months.
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The Ag Economy Barometer suggests farmers felt less cautious about big expenses in April than they did in May. The survey overall shows subtle improvements.
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Data released Tuesday shows that the optimism farmers felt after the 2016 election has all but faded as a result of uncertainty around COVID-19.
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The survey by Purdue University and the CME Group captured an anxiety among farmers that is indicative of the national mood.
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The Farm Capital Investment Index, which assesses farmers’ willingness to invest in equipment and other capital, continues to strengthen.
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Farmers have become more optimistic about the future in past months. That optimism has not yet influenced their willingness to make capital investments.
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The Ag Economy Barometer drifted sideways in December, but the Farm Capital Investment Index concluded 2019 at the highest index value for the year.
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Agricultural economy sentiment in November matched its highest reading of 2019, which included a big bump in how willing farmers are to invest in equipment and other capital.
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Producers who responded to the Purdue University survey in October thought more favorably about making big investments. The index rose to within eight points of its peak.
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The Rural Mainstreet Index for September climbed above growth neutral. The farm equipment-sales index also improved.
Read moreConcerns about economic conditions led to a dip in the Ag Economy Barometer from February to March. The Index of
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