Success of Tariffs an Unanswered Question
President Trump’s trade war against China did not reverse a U.S. decline in manufacturing, economic data show, despite tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars of Chinese goods to discourage imports.
The tariffs did succeed in reducing the trade deficit with China in 2019, but the overall U.S. trade imbalance was bigger than ever that year and soared to a record $84 billion in August as U.S. importers shifted to cheaper sources of goods from Vietnam, Mexico and other countries.
The trade deficit with China also has risen amid the pandemic and is back to where it was at the start of the Trump administration.
Another goal—reshoring of U.S. factory production—also has not yet been realized. Job growth in manufacturing started to slow in July 2018, and manufacturing production peaked in December 2018.
Administration officials point out nonetheless that the tariffs have succeeded in forcing China to agree to a phase one trade deal, in which Beijing agreed to buy more U.S. goods, enforce intellectual property protections, remove regulatory barriers to agricultural trade and financial services and to not manipulate its currency.
They also say the tariffs—which remain on about $370 billion in Chinese goods annually—will over time force China to end unfair practices and help rebuild the U.S. manufacturing base.
Source: Wall Street Journal